MENDOCINO CO., 2/20/26 – After a cold and mostly quiet Friday morning, the next round of winter weather is lining up for Mendocino County — so yes, it’s time to get the rain slicker and boots ready again.
Forecasters say a moderate atmospheric river will move into the area starting Saturday morning and continue through at least Monday, likely into Tuesday, bringing several inches of rain and gusty winds.
Steady rain returns Saturday
Most-likely rainfall projections show the following estimates for the county:
- Laytonville: nearly 6 inches
- Willits: around 5 inches
- Fort Bragg: 3 to 4 inches
- Ukiah: just over 3 inches
In a worst-case scenario, parts of northern Mendocino County could see close to 7 inches through Tuesday.
Rivers expected to rise into Tuesday
With multiple days of rain in the forecast, rivers are expected to respond.
The Russian River near Hopland is forecast to crest around Tuesday at roughly 14 feet — just below its 15-foot flood stage. Forecasters estimate about a 30% chance it could exceed flood stage, depending on rainfall totals.
The Navarro River is also forecast to rise and crest around Tuesday, remaining below its 23-foot flood stage under current projections. Even so, low-lying areas along Highway 128 and near the river will be worth watching.
Wind picks up Saturday
A wind advisory is in effect for western Mendocino County, including the coast, from 10 a.m. Saturday through 10 a.m. Sunday.
Coastal areas could see gusts over 60 mph, while inland communities such as Willits and Ukiah may see gusts in the 40 mph range. With soils already wet, that increases the risk of downed trees and scattered power outages.
Now’s the time to get ready
No widespread flooding is forecast at this point — but this is a good window to prepare before the heaviest rainfall Sunday into Monday.
If you live in a low-lying or flood-prone area, consider clearing storm drains and culverts, securing loose outdoor items, charging devices, and picking up sandbags if you typically need them during heavier storms.
Forecasters say the unsettled pattern could linger into midweek.
Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts as the timing and intensity of the system become clearer. Visit http://www.weather.gov for localized weather and http://www.mendoready.gov for emergency readiness tips.